Republican Gubernatorial Nomination "Moore's for the Taking"?
A Mobile Register-University of South Alabama poll shows that a plurality of Alabamians who are likely to vote in the Republican primary for Governor prefer Roy Moore to Gov. Bob Riley by a margin of 43-35.
This poll is pretty useless as a predictor of how things will turn out when the Republican primary rolls around next year for several reasons:
- The election is too far in the future for any poll to accurately predict what the sentiments of Republican voters will be on election day.
- Neither Riley nor Moore have announced their candidacy for Governor yet. As far as I know, no other Republican has, either.
- The poll included self-identified "likely Republican primary voters." Therefore, it does not take into account the impact of crossover voting from Democrats. It seems likely that an election in which Moore was a participant would be likely to draw a substantial number of crossover votes, not to mention first-time voters with no allegiance to either party.
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